Reuters/Pablo Martinez Monsivais
Here is what you need to know.
The IMF sounds the alarm on a US trade war. The global economy could lose as much as $430 billion, or 0.5% of gross domestic product, if President Donald Trump’s new tariff threats are carried out, according to the International Monetary Fund’s World Economic Outlook report out Monday.
The number of people with jobs in the UK just hit an all-time high. The number of people at work in in the UK during the March-to-May period reached 32.4 million, the most since record keeping began in the early 1970s, Office for National Statistics data showed.
Qatar Airways’ CEO says business has gotten better with Trump in office. “On the contrary, our traffic from the United States is growing because our adversaries next door are cutting traffic into the US,” Qatar Airways Group CEO Akbar Al Baker told Business Insider’s Benjamin Zhang, mentioning decisions by the United Arab Emirates-based Etihad and Emirates airlines to reduce US flights.
An overlooked indicator that tracks the ‘smart money’ has been plunging for months. Morgan Stanley’s Smart Money Index — which tracks the Dow Jones industrial average outside the first 30 minutes of trading each day — has been collapsing since topping in January, and it’s a bad sign.
Netflix plunges after missing on subscribers. Shares shed as much as 14% in after-hours trading on Monday after the streaming giant posted mixed top- and bottom-line results and said its subscriber additions for the second quarter totaled 5.1 million, missing the 6.3 million that Wall Street analysts were expecting.
Amazon.com goes down on Prime Day. The site was down for over an hour starting at about 3 p.m. ET on Monday — the start of Prime Day, Amazon’s biggest shopping day of the year.
The toughest exam in finance is getting into crypto. The Chartered Financial Analyst Program is adding a section called “Fintech in Investment Management” to its curriculum next year, Bloomberg reports.
Stock markets around the world are mostly lower. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (-1.25%) led the losses in Asia, and Britain’s FTSE (+0.07%) clings to gains in Europe. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 is set to open lower by 0.87%.
Earnings reporting heats up. Goldman Sachs, Johnson & Johnson, and UnitedHealth report ahead of the opening bell, while United Continental releases its quarterly results after markets close.
US economic data keeps coming. Industrial production and capacity utilization will be released at 9:15 a.m. ET, and the NAHB Housing Market Index will cross the wires at 10 a.m. ET. The US 10-year yield is up 1 basis point at 2.86%.
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