A seismologist at Thessaloniki’s Aristotle University struck a cautiously optimistic tone following Wednesday’s earthquake in Turkey’s northern Marmara Sea, noting that while the tremor was strong, it does not appear to pose a serious threat to Greece. However, added Kostas Papazachos in comments to state broadcaster ERT, “it’s far too early to make any predictions about how this might evolve.”
The quake occurred along a known right-lateral fault zone, where the lower plate shifts eastward and the upper remains mostly stationary. While the epicenter was near the fault’s center, the seismic sequence appears to be extending toward Istanbul. “This is a familiar rupture,” Papazachos said.
He said that this is not the long-feared “big one” expected further east, along fault segments that remain unbroken. “This is a relatively small event for this fault and likely to have very limited impact, possibly minor effects along coastal areas.”
The quake was only barely felt in Greece. However, Papazachos cautioned that the fault lies within a historically powerful seismic zone, which has produced quakes over a magnitude of 7.
“Given that, we must remain vigilant, though for now there’s no major cause for concern,” he concluded.
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